We all would like to know how the Tesla Model 3 will be priced. Based on a excel sheet made by Dave Tuttle, Research Fellow at The University of Texas at Austin Energy Institute, I created one for the Netherlands, which I think is close to the EU ones, but you can adjust yourself by downloading the excel. Of course, it is all speculation, but nice to do :). Update Mar, 14: some options were included in the base prices; corrected now.
The way of working by Dave was to take the current pricing differences between all versions of the Model S, and start with a $35.000 base price for the Model 3, with a 55kWh battery, and then adding subsequently all features and larger battery sizes. So the major assumptions are the base version (35k$ and 55kWh), and then the addition based on a comparison with the Model S pricing, with some adjustments.
I took the ratio between the Model S 60kWh $ vs € pricing and applied that ratio to the 35k$ base price. I also changed the range from NEDC to EPA, and all in km (estimation).
All in all these are major uncertain predictions, but nevertheless nice to think about, and in due time to see how close they are. Let me know your thoughts!
So here are the results ex VAT (BTW):
Here are the results including 21% VAT (BTW):
Here are the original (known) Model S prices in the NL (incl 21% VAT)